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08.06.2017 15:31
TSO Forecast Says Bulgaria Will Suffer an Energy Surplus of 9 TWh/Y in Ten Years
The country's TSO did not take into consideration possible new nuclear generations when it forged it 10-year development plan

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Bulgaria will likely have an energy surplus of up to 8 – 9 TWh per year in 2026, a prognosis of the country’s power transmission system operator ESO showed. The data was unveiled on Thursday during the Bulatom forum in Varna, on the Black Sea, as part of the 10-year development plan of Bulgaria’s power transmission system for the 2017 – 2026-period.

Plamen Gerdzhikov of the ESO Central Dispatching Unit, said that the surplus “will be very serious”.

For this surplus scenario however, ESO has not taken into consideration neither the possible rekindling and completion of Belene NPP, nor a planned new nuclear unit at the site of Bulgaria’s sole operational nuclear power plant at Kozloduy, currently equipped with two 1,000-megatwatt VVER reactors. Furthermore, the ESO forecast also did not consider the tighter SO, NOx and mercury emissions restrictions to be imposed on large combustion plants as of 2021.

The conservative estimate of ESO stipulates that the gross domestic power consumption would be 38.130 TWh in 2026, while the liberal estimate puts maximum consumption for the year at 40.410 TWh. ESO expects the absolute maximum system load to be 8,050 MW, while the average work day load is estimated at 7520 MW.

Up until 2026, ESO said the required power transmission grid investments should amount to BGN 1.2 bn (about EUR 600 m), or an average of BGN 120 m per year.

TAGS: ESO | Bulgaria | TSO | power grid | investments | transmission grid | nuclear energy | consumption | electricity | Bulgaria | forecast 

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